NBU worsens inflation forecast in 2024 to 8.5%, to 6.6% in 2025

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has worsened the price growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 by 0.3 and 0.6 percentage points (p.p.), respectively – to 8.5% and 6.6% primarily due to increased business costs for labor and electricity. “Price pressure will continue in the coming months due to further increases in business costs, higher … Read more

Ukraine’s Ministry of Economy forecasts sharp GDP acceleration from 2026

The Ministry of Economy is forecasting a sharp acceleration in gross domestic product growth starting in 2026, with the 2025-2027 budget declaration, published by MP Yaroslav Zheleznyak, projecting GDP growth of 7.5% for 2026. Such growth rates haven’t been seen in Ukraine since the mid-2000s when Viktor Yushchenko was president. The record for Ukraine is … Read more

Analysts worsen forecast for hryvnia exchange rate for late 2024 to average of UAH 42/$1

The hryvnia to the dollar exchange rate at the end of this year is expected to be about UAH 42/$1, this updated consensus forecast of seven investment companies and analytical centers was published by the Center for Economic Strategy (CES), recalling that six months ago the forecast was UAH 40.5/$1. It is indicated that the … Read more

British intelligence predicts 3% economic growth for Ukraine in 2024

Ukraine’s economy remains resilient after two years of full-scale Russian invasion. Ukraine is likely to see real economic growth of 3% in 2024. This is reported by the UK Defense Ministry. “Despite attacks by Russia on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure,it is likely that Ukraine will see real economic growth of around 3 percent in 2024,” the … Read more

EU worsens forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth to 2.9% in 2024

Ukrainian economic growth this year will slow to 2.9% after 5.3% in 2023, followed by acceleration to 5.9% next year, according to the European Economic Forecast. Spring 2024 report published on the European Commission’s website on Wednesday. “The war will continue to dampen sentiment and hinder productive capacities, including in the energy sector, where early … Read more

Agrarian Ministry predicts reduction in grain production to 52.4 mln tonnes in 2024, oilseed harvest at 21.7 mln tonnes

The Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food forecasts gross production of grains and oilseeds in 2024 at 74 million tonnes, of which about 52.4 million tonnes of grains and 21.7 million tonnes of oilseeds. As noted on the department’s website, at the beginning of last year, the total gross harvest of grains and oilseeds for … Read more

Analysts predict how Ukraine’s accession to the EU would affect the growth of the Ukrainian economy

According to the NBU, the Ukrainian economy will increase by 7%, and the GDP per person will be $15,500 within a decade after the country’s accession to the EU with the rapid implementation of all necessary reforms. Under a partial implementation of reforms, the economy can grow by about 4% for ten years, and GDP … Read more

Residential real estate prices will continue to rise in Ukraine.

Analysts estimate the negative impact on housing demand due to the war at $20B. In the coming years, prices for apartments in Ukraine will continue to rise – both in the primary and secondary real estate markets. UTG analysts predict this as a result of increased construction costs and high demand. So, looking at construction … Read more